Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change issues most dire warning yet

Posted November 17th, 2007 in Blog 1 Comment »

Fostering Ecological Hope
Today from Margaret Swedish:

Today the world’s scientists have spoken, clearly and in one voice. — United Nations Secretary General Ban Ki-moon

Yes, the world’s scientists have spoken loudly and clearly. If you are tuned in at all to environmental news today, you know that the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) issued its dire and sobering summary report on the catastrophe falling upon our Earth because of human-caused global warming.

Thought I’d just leave a few links about this and make a plea for stepped-up political action. There will be more to say once we have had a chance to read the report.

This article was posted today on the NY Times website, UN chief seeks leadership on climate change. Oh yes, we do, too!

Seen any among our political leaders lately — I mean, at the federal level? We’re seeing plenty leadership at the state level in California, the northeast and midwest. But from Congress and the White House — well, it’s woeful and shameful.

Mr. Ban singled out the US and China, the world’s two biggest carbon dioxide (CO2) emitters, both of which refuse to engage in mandatory emission reductions or to cooperate in an international regimen to do this at a global level.

The moral responsibility on these two nations weighs heavily.

From the article:

Members of the panel said their review of the data led them to conclude as a group and individually that reductions in greenhouse gases had to start immediately to avert a global climate disaster, which could leave island states submerged and abandoned, reduce African crop yields by 50 percent, and cause a 5 percent decrease in global gross domestic product.

And that’s barely getting started — coastal cities under water, the need to retreat inland, permanent drought in places like the US Southwest, drastic changes in weather patterns threatening agriculture in many parts of the world — and we could go on.

This report was the synthesized version of the three reports issued earlier this year (see the IPCC website link above). It represents a breathtaking consensus among scientists from around the world, endorsed now by UN members — in other words, no more debate about the threat of climate change, now we must prescind from it.

How urgent is our situation?

“If there’s no action before 2012, that’s too late, said Rajendra Pachauri, a scientist and economist who heads the IPCC. œWhat we do in the next two to three years will determine our future. This is the defining moment.

So, that’s five years, good friends, and we have barely started. New policies take time — just to get them into law, much less activated. This isn’t about debating how to reduce emissions over the next five years, this is about drastically reducing them starting now.

My niece in Chicago just sent me this link to an AP article published in the Chicago Tribune, UN panel gives dire warming forecast. If this doesn’t make one lose sleep, I don’t know what does.

As early as 2020, 75 million to 250 million people in Africa will suffer water shortages, residents of Asia’s megacities will be at great risk of river and coastal flooding, Europeans can expect extensive species loss, and North Americans will experience longer and hotter heat waves and greater competition for water, the report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change says.

The potential impact of global warming is “so severe and so sweeping that only urgent, global action will do,” [said Mr. Ban]

The issue got a nod from a couple of Democratic candidates today, Clinton and Edwards, and I am going to say this one more time — climate change and that other ecological crisis, overshoot, are the defining issues of our generation. It is up to us to make our political leaders and institutions respond accordingly.

The report is on the IPCC website, though in draft form awaiting the final copy editing. If you want a look, go here.

The IPCC won the Nobel peace prize this year, sharing it with Al Gore. We are so glad they did. Their combined voice is an inescapable call to humanity for an urgent response to the melting of our planet.

I give the last word this day to Achim Steiner, heard of the UN Enviroment Program, quoted in the Times article:

What we need is a new ethic in which every person changes lifestyle, attitude and behavior.

We agree. It is the heart of the matter for this blog and our project, Spirituality and Ecological Hope. But with this ethic for persons must come a new ethic for nation states and global politics. Hard to believe we are waging wars, growing our military budget, torturing detainees, eroding our civil liberties and political rights in a world about to cook us into crises we can hardly imagine yet.

But if you feel like imagining it, think Bangladesh today, then add Katrina, the recent wildfires in southern California, and throw in the mega-droughts in the Southwest and Southeast, and you begin to get the idea.

[tags] Intergovernment Panel on Climate Change, IPCC, Ban Ki-moon[/tags]


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One Response

  1. D.Bheemeswar

    Dear Mrs. Margaret

    Please kindly read the following. We need to avert the possible environ-mental problems. Also we have to stop oil wells in the arctic area, which is must. In order to reduce the pollutions due to oil usage, we have to revert to cycling and other means.

    “When the prophecies-within-prophecies are deciphered, the hidden timeline of World War III is revealed.”

    In May 2005, members of the Italian National Library in Rome made an amazing discovery. Buried in their archives was an unknown manuscript written by the famed prophet Michel de Nostradame, or Nostradamus (1503-1566). This manuscript was handed down to his son and later donated to Pope Urban VIII. It did not surface again until now, almost four hundred years later.
    Using cutting-edge data mining techniques, Dr. Rathford sifted this complex word puzzle searching for significant patterns and relationships. Almost immediately, he came up with the predictive model known as The Nostradamus Code.

    When the prophecies-within-prophecies are deciphered, the hidden timeline of World War III is revealed. A sample of the new predictions include:
    · A conflict between the US and Iran
    · The next major terrorist attack on the US
    · Osama Bin Laden
    · The nuclear destruction of Rome

    From the Author:
    “I’m afraid the making of World War III is actually taking place in front of our eyes.” Prince Hassan of Jordan – March 26, 2004
    Drawing on newly discovered Nostradamus manuscripts, a startling new view of the world is revealed. If you agree that signs like widespread terrorism, a volatile Middle East, and an economic depression could lead to World War III – then you will find this book truly eye-opening.
    With a total of eight chapters, The Nostradamus Code: World War III opens with an overview of the bewildering events currently unfolding on the world stage. You will find out why they are happening, and what you can do about them to protect yourself.
    Next, the years 2008 through 2012 are explained in precise detail. Referred to by Nostradamus as the Time of Troubles, this period is full of war, despair, and evil, but also of hope and promise. Use this book to enlighten yourself, your loved ones, your world, and your future.

    Chapter Four: The Time of Troubles
    Crazed leader launches nuclear bombs on Mediterranean and Europe
    (Century II, Quatrains 3 and 4)
    During a period of continuing unrest, the leader of a Middle Eastern country will be able to obtain a nuclear weapon. He will go to the greatest lengths over the smallest things and will not hesitate to use the weapon because of his obsessions with deadly warfare. The people he is warring against retaliate with a nuclear weapon. The country has a coast on the Mediterranean.

    One of the bombs will land in the Mediterranean instead of the land, poisoning all the fish. The passages of trade in the region will be disrupted so that the people on the other coast will be desperate for food and will eat the fish anyway. It will happen near the east coast of the Mediterranean in a region of dark-colored cliffs.
    (Century III, Quatrain 83)
    The nuclear weapon being dropped by one of the Middle Eastern countries will spark off yet another war on top of that war. European nations will try to interfere to diminish the threat to oil supplies. When the European countries try to interfere, the crazed leader will use the rest of his arsenal on Europe, most striking the Italian Peninsula.
    The European Mediterranean coast, particularly that of Italy and France, will be almost uninhabitable, and Italy will get the brunt. This leader is not the Antichrist but helps to set the stage for the Antichrist to rise to power with little or no opposition.
    Volcanoes, earthquakes, floods, droughts
    (Century IV, Quatrain 67)
    A very bright, previously unknown comet will appear and coincide with the time of great geological troubles, with earthquakes and volcanoes erupting and disrupting weather systems. This will cause widespread famines, droughts, and social upheavals in unexpected places. Nations that are considered prosperous and powerful, particularly western nations, will be weakened. They will be torn with civil strife and rioting as people migrate to areas that have water and can support crop-growing. The social upheaval and weakening of political structures will help the Antichrist come to power.
    The United States in particular will be subject to serious natural disasters, particularly earthquakes and flooding, and flatten the nation from end to end, causing enormous conflict, despair, and misery. The US will be bankrupted attempting to deal with its disasters. Three other great nations will send aid to help the citizens survive.
    (Century VIII, Quatrain 29)
    Earth changes will take place that will help the Antichrist’s drive for world conquest. In central Europe, southern Europe, and in the Middle East, around the eastern end of the Mediterranean, there will be severe floods. As a result of the disruption to local governments by the natural disasters, the Antichrist will move his troops in under the guise of helping the people restore civil order, but really use this as a device to take over countries, and to use the populations like slaves.
    Serious economic problems will persist along with great social unrest, contributing to the ease with which the Antichrist can seize power. The frightened and hopeful populace will be vulnerable to his rhetoric. The Antichrist will use the disasters as opportunities to overthrow governments and sneak spies into a country. Martial law will be declared in many areas to stop rioting and looting. The Middle East, the source of his power, will not be as devastated as the rest of the world. He offers assistance to other countries trying to recover but he will eventually stab them in the back.
    Antichrist’s rise to power in Middle East
    (Century II, Quatrains 23 and 81)
    The Antichrist will take over Iran by using a human decoy to trick the Iranian Ayatollah in power. This will involve the “yes men” and puppets of the Ayatollah’s court. The Antichrist will first drive away internal supporters of the Ayatollah by starting a civil war. Then he will put forth a man as a leader, a man for Iranians loyal to the Ayatollah to concentrate their hate on. The man will be assassinated while Iran is being taken over, and his opponents will think they have foiled the overthrow of power by assassinating him. But they will find out later he was merely a decoy and that they played into the plans of the Antichrist.

    The Antichrist will initially obtain power in his own sphere, Asia, and the Middle East. As he grows out of this arena, and into Europe, the next step will be into the Mediterranean, his area of strength. Because of his Middle Eastern heritage he will have already united North Africans, who are sympathetic to his cultural background, with his Asian and Middle Eastern conglomerate.
    Fiasco from communication breakdown between two superpowers
    (Century II, Quatrains 35 and 48)
    Through a mistake, a breakdown in communications between two powerful countries will occur. The situation is a lot more complex than will appear on the surface. The leader involved will feel great regret about what happened and will want to continue his career and help correct the situation, to help make up for the adverse affects.
    But he will be hung, symbolically, by others wishing to take his position in the organization. He will be hung as far as politics and his career are concerned. It will almost be like committing suicide because in the end he will be a broken man. The entire event will be viewed as a fiasco from both sides. It will have very harmful and even cataclysmic consequences.
    Third world country leader creates strife
    (Century III, Quatrain 60)
    A “young dark man” will arise as a leader in a Third World country; his main goal is to unite the other Third World countries to do battle with the superpowers. The area of conflict will be in Eastern Europe and the Middle East, particularly around the Adriatic and the Caspian seas and Israel. No definite winner will emerge but the strife will help set the stage for the Antichrist. Many prophecies in the Bible refer to events in this region.
    Antichrist profits from radar research in Europe
    (Century I, Quatrain 6)
    Research on a more sophisticated type of radar and sensing devices will give greater information to the operator, i.e. an airplane pilot. But the first experiments with the technology will fail in a disastrous accident, when the vibrations emitted by the device cause the chassis of the plane to become weakened and dangerous. The scientists involved with the research will have to temporarily abandon the research because of diplomatic breakdowns, the threat of war, etc.
    This will take place before the Antichrist comes to full power. It will happen in Europe at the time the Antichrist is strengthening his base of power in the Middle East. The devices are currently under development but have not been tested yet. But this is another historical event that will permit the Antichrist to take over Europe.
    War game simulation by Britain in Europe leads to disaster
    (Century II, Quatrain 2)
    In a war-game maneuver involving Great Britain and European troops a malfunctioning computer will cause the “real-world” situation to play out instead of the simulation. As a result of the error actual defenses will be activated and real bombs will be dropped on the areas of the game and cause a tragic international incident.
    American Electoral College voting stalemate
    (Century VII, Quatrain 41)
    The presidents of the United States, a supposedly free country, have been abusing their power to an increasingly greater extent. During a time of social unrest even more so than the period of Vietnam and Watergate, the Electoral College will be evenly split over the election of the new president. The process will stalemate, with many people clamoring for whichever candidate they voted for, causing enormous tension in the country. Internationally it will be a sensitive situation.
    Because of the split, and the extremely volatile and explosive social unrest, putting either candidate in office instead of the other could start a civil war or a revolution. After a long time of impassioned speeches invoking patriotism and the founding fathers, a compromise solution of holding another election will be taken, and a candidate will be installed without disaster.


    This only prediction, but we have to be more careful.